Daniela Monsportova1; 1 Charles University, Czechia
Discussion
The 2025 election marks a defining moment for Czechia for several reasons, including the record number of newly elected and younger MPs or the left’s second consecutive failure to secure parliamentary representation. A significant shift is expected in Czechia’s policy toward Ukraine, as Andrej Babiš has explicitly stated that initiatives such as the Ammunition Initiative will be discontinued and has openly promoted policies opposing continued solidarity with Ukraine. The way ANO forms its future government could profoundly shape Czechia’s stance on Ukraine and influence the broader regional security architecture and stability, potentially contributing to the emergence of a “Pax Fico–Orbán–Babiš” axis. This article explores the prospects of Czech support for Ukraine in light of the country’s evolving political discourse and the outcomes of the 2025 elections. Using discourse analysis, it examines the programmes of major political parties—particularly the winning ANO party—as well as campaign statements and rhetoric by key political leaders regarding Ukraine in the pre-election period. The analysis situates these developments within the wider regional context, assessing their implications for Central European dynamics and the future of the Visegrád Group (V4).
